We were treated to a full round of Premier League fixtures this midweek, and the results threw up some real questions.Chelsea were on the end of a shock defeat at Wolves, while Manchester United dropped further points with Arsenal claiming a draw at Old Trafford.5
What is expected goals?
- Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
- Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
- The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
- The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.
20. Burnley – real position = 19Real points = 9 | Expected points = 9.2019. Fulham – real position = 20Real points = 9 | Expected points = 11.7018. Newcastle – real position = 14Real points = 14 | Expected points = 13.155
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