Alternative Premier League table after 24 games, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after 24 games, based on expected goals
If you thought the title race was about to be done and dusted on Tuesday night, think again.A stunning set of results have left the Premier League wide open at both ends of the table with Liverpool and Manchester City just five points apart at the top, and Tottenham lurking behind them.Tottenham Hotspur stars celebrate Fernando Llorente’s winner against Watford.10
Tottenham Hotspur stars celebrate Fernando Llorente’s winner against Watford.
Bournemouth’s victory saw a change in fourth with Arsenal leapfrogging Chelsea on goals scored, while at the bottom Fulham remain 19th despite a stunning 4-2 comeback win over Brighton & Hove Albion.And Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s incredible winning start at Manchester United was ended by a 2-2 draw with Burnley.Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.comto see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

20.Huddersfield Town Real position = 20Real points = 11 | Expected points = 19.7019.Newcastle United Real position = 14Real points = 24 | Expected points = 22.10Salomon Rondon celebrates netting the equaliser for Newcastle10
Salomon Rondon celebrates netting the equaliser for Newcastle
18.Cardiff City Real position = 18Real points = 19 | Expected points = 22.8917.Brighton and Hove Albion Real position = 13Real points = 26 | Expected points = 22.9616. Fulham Real position = 19Real points = 17 | Expected points = 23.05Fulham striker Aleksandar Mitrovic10
Fulham striker Aleksandar Mitrovic
15. Burnley Real position = 17Real points = 23 | Expected points = 23.0614. West Ham Real position = 12Real points = 31 | Expected points = 27.1513.Southampton Real position = 16Real points = 23 | Expected points = 27.81Ralph Hasenhuttl has been doing superbly with Southampton10
Ralph Hasenhuttl has been doing superbly with Southampton
12. Crystal Palace Real position = 15Real points = 23 | Expected points = 29.6211. Everton Real position = 8Real points = 33 | Expected points = 32.2210.Watford Real position = 9Real points = 33 | Expected points = 33.609. Bournemouth Real position = 10Real points = 33 | Expected points = 33.60Chelsea were beaten 4-0 by Bournemouth10
Chelsea were beaten 4-0 by Bournemouth
8. Leicester City Real position = 11Real points = 32 | Expected points = 33.837.Wolverhampton Wanderers Real position = 7Real points = 35 | Expected points = 38.296. Arsenal Real position = 4Real points = 47 | Expected points = 38.79Matteo Guendouzi on the ball for Arsenal10
Matteo Guendouzi on the ball for Arsenal
5. Manchester United Real position = 6Real points = 45 | Expected points = 39.55Victor Lindelof turned home Manchester Uniteds equaliser10
Victor Lindelof turned home Manchester Uniteds equaliser
4. Tottenham Hotspur Real position = 3Real points = 54 | Expected points = 42.27Llorente’s late header changed the mood at Tottenham against Watford10
Llorente’s late header changed the mood at Tottenham against Watford
3.Chelsea Real position = 5Real points = 47 | Expected points = 46.052.Liverpool Real position = 1Real points = 61 | Expected points = 53.24Liverpool endured a frustrated evening at a wintry Anfield10
Liverpool endured a frustrated evening at a wintry Anfield
1. Manchester City Real position = 2Real points = 56 | Expected points = 54.72Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola looked frustrated at St James Park.10
Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola looked frustrated at St James Park.


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But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by 'Expected Goals'? Here at talkSPORT.com we're always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats. Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
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